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Roberto MotaRM
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Roberto Mota

@robertomota1

I build time-series, causal-analysis, and machine-learning systems for risk detection.

Mexico
Message

I've built quantitative research and forecasting systems at HDI Capital, using causal tests and synthetic data to filter spurious algorithmic trading models and detect high-volatility market periods.

My research spans nonlinear time-series relationships and brain electrical activity, while at BENEBION I automated USDA orchard-ID validation from roughly 90 minutes to under 2 minutes and analyzed radiation-dose tolerances.

Experience

Work history, roles, and key accomplishments

HL

Quantitative Analyst

HDI Capital LLC

Jan 2021 - Dec 2023 (2 years 11 months)

Identified inconsistencies in statistical models and discovered early warning signals of market risk. Conducted causal analysis tests with synthetic data to verify assumptions of algorithmic trading models, developed a time series forecasting system for rapid detection of high volatility epochs, and performed refactoring and code reviews.

Education

Degrees, certifications, and relevant coursework

Universidad Nacional Autonoma de Mexico logoUM

Universidad Nacional Autonoma de Mexico

Doctor of Philosophy, Physics

2015 - 2020

Doctor of Philosophy in Physics from the Universidad Nacional Autonoma de Mexico from 2015 to 2020. Used causal discovery tools to measure the predictability of future price jumps in the Bitcoin market, finding it practically zero.

Universidad Nacional Autonoma de Mexico logoUM

Universidad Nacional Autonoma de Mexico

Master of Science, Physics

2012 - 2015

Master of Science in Physics from the Universidad Nacional Autonoma de Mexico from 2012 to 2015. Developed an agent-based model that reproduces statistical properties observed in financial time series.

Universidad de Guadalajara logoUG

Universidad de Guadalajara

Bachelor of Science, Physics

2007 - 2012

Bachelor of Science in Physics from the Universidad de Guadalajara from 2007 to 2012.

Tech stack

Software and tools used professionally

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