Senior Analyst, Forecasting, Pacing & Commercial Modelling

Keypath Education – Ranked Best Place to Work in Australia by WRK+ (2021 to 2024)

Keypath Education is a global EdTech company partnering with leading universities to deliver online programs that address real-world social and economic challenges.

Work Anywhere:

At Keypath Education Australia, flexibility is our strength. We put our people first, allowing you to choose where you work – from home, in the office, or both. We welcome applications from candidates located anywhere in Australia, provided you have a strong, reliable internet connection.

Please note that only candidates residing in Australia with full working rights will be eligible for consideration.

About the Role

The Senior Analyst, Forecasting, Pacing & Commercial Modelling is Keypath’s enterprise owner of enrolment forecasting, pacing, and commercial modelling across APAC. You will deliver accurate demand scenarios and financial models that inform workforce planning, pricing, investment decisions, annual budgets, and long-range strategic growth.

This role is highly cross-functional and commercially influential—shaping decisions across Marketing, Sales, Product, Finance, and Strategy.

Key Accountabilities:

Forecasting Governance and Enrolment Modelling

• Own the APAC enrolment forecast across partners and study periods.

• Maintain and refine forecasting methodology, assumptions, and scenario architecture.

• Lead rolling forecasts, study-period reporting, and variance analysis.

• Publish forecast packs and run reviews with Sales, Marketing, and Finance.

• Develop the annual enrolment forecast aligned to the FY budget.

Real-Time Pacing and Scenario Modelling

• Build automated pacing tools for intra-period performance tracking.

• Run scenario modelling for promotions, pricing, channel mix, and capacity.

• Translate demand scenarios into commercial, operational, and workforce implications.

Commercial & Financial Modelling for Innovation & Growth

• Lead financial modelling for new programs, markets, and delivery models.

• Support pricing strategies, ROI assessments, business cases, and margin optimisation.

• Maintain long-range planning models aligned to growth and investment priorities.

• Convert early-stage concepts into robust, defensible commercial models.

Product Performance & Post-Implementation Review

• Monitor performance of newly launched products and programs.

• Lead post-implementation reviews comparing outcomes against forecast, ROI, and assumptions.

Cross-Functional Integration

• Convert enrolment forecasts into staffing needs with Workforce Planning.

• Align modelling assumptions across Sales, Marketing, Product, and Finance.

• Partner with Data Engineering to ensure automation and data reliability.

Tooling, Governance & Capability Enablement

• Enhance automation and quality control across forecasting and commercial models.

• Maintain the Forecast & Modelling Playbook.

• Coach leaders on forecast interpretation, pacing metrics, and scenario usage.

• Foster a culture of analytical rigour and innovation.

Essential Requirements:

Education

• Bachelor’s degree in Analytics, Data Science, Finance, Economics, Statistics, Mathematics, or a related quantitative field.

• Postgraduate qualifications (e.g., Master’s in Applied Analytics, Finance, or Econometrics) are advantageous but not essential.

Experience

• 8+ years in forecasting, demand modelling, or financial/commercial analytics.

• Proven experience building enterprise forecasting frameworks and scenario models.

• Strong background in financial modelling for new products, pricing, markets, and ROI analysis.

• Experience developing automated pacing dashboards and intervention models.

• Confident communicator capable of influencing senior stakeholders.

• Experience partnering with Sales, Product, Marketing, and Finance on forecasts and pacing strategies.

• Experience working with Data Engineering on automation and data pipelines.

• Education sector experience beneficial but not essential.

• PL‑300 Power BI certification advantageous.

Technical

• Advanced forecasting, scenario modelling, and financial modelling (Excel essential; Python/R optional).

• Strong Power BI capability (dashboards, forecast packs, performance reporting).

• SQL proficiency and experience with cloud data platforms (e.g., Microsoft Fabric).

• Ability to build automated pacing and scenario tools integrated into forecasting frameworks.

• Excellent executive-level data storytelling and presentation skills.

• High numerical reasoning, structured thinking, and meticulous attention to detail.

Unique Requirements

• Ability to work across multiple time zones and business units to support forecast governance, pacing reviews, and cross‑functional planning cycles.

• Comfortable operating in a dynamic, rapidly evolving environment, with shifting demand signals and commercial priorities

• Occasional travel may be required.

Additional Information:

Benefits and Rewards:

• Opportunity to work in office, hybrid or remote

• All the necessary equipment for success.

• Internet Allowance for remote work.

• Paid Mental Health days for your well-being.

• Access to LinkedIn Learning

• Learning Labs designed to promote L&D

• Toolkits for Digital Health and Mental Health support.

• Employee led programs such as Culture Club, Team Green, Sustainability and more

• Company events and activities run in office and remotely

Why Keypath?

• Embrace Your Authentic Self: A supportive culture recognized as a top workplace (Ranked #6 on 2024 the Best Places to Work Australia©).

• Global EdTech Leader: Join an industry on the rise.

• Continuous Growth: Upskill through discounted study opportunities.

• Transform the World: Contribute to upskilling and reskilling globally.

• Make an Impact: Help solve future economic and social challenges.

• Join Keypath and make a difference. We welcome applicants from diverse backgrounds and offer inclusive support throughout the recruitment process.

Apply now to unlock your potential with Keypath!

Preferred applicants may be required to complete a police check and other pre-employment checks.