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MetaculusME

Product Manager

Metaculus is an online forecasting platform and aggregation engine working to improve human reasoning and coordination on topics of global importance.

Metaculus

Employee count: 11-50

Salary: 100k-150k USD

United States only

Description

Metaculus is the premier public forecasting platform with over 2,800,000 forecasts on over 20,000 questions. Metaculus is "epistemic infrastructure" like Wikipedia and Our World In Data, providing the world with trusted, accurate information on a variety of questions, particularly in science and technology. Our mission is to enable everyone to model, understand, predict, and navigate the world’s most important and complex challenges.

As a Product Manager, you will own significant parts of our product roadmap across supporting our services and programs, and pushing the frontier of AI forecasting. You'll work with a small, talented team who are building the future of forecasting and sensemaking.

Team & Structure

  • Report to: Director of Product
  • Work directly with: 1 product manager, 5 engineers, 2 designers, 2 research engineers
  • Collaborate across: bizdev, marketing, programs and services

Responsibilities

AI Products

  • Lead product development for our AI Benchmark - a quarterly tournament with $50K prizes plus a base model leaderboard, aiming to become the premier forecasting benchmark
  • Build AI Forecasting/Sensemaking as a Service - using AI to scale forecasting
  • Push Metaculus to be the destination for AI forecasting measurement, commissioning, delivery, and use

Cross-functional Collaboration:

  • Work closely with bizdev on client relationships and services delivery
  • Collaborate with marketing on positioning and go-to-market strategies
  • Partner with engineering and design on technical architecture and user experience

Location

This is a fully remote position. We welcome applicants from all time zones. However, given the location of existing team members who will collaborate closely with this position, our preference is to fill this role with a candidate with consistent availability for collaboration between 8:30 AM to 12:30 PM PST (4:30 PM to 8:30 PM GMT).

Requirements

Experience:

  • 4+ years product management experience
  • Experience with data/analytics tools or enterprise SaaS preferred
  • Experience with world or systems modeling preferred
  • Track record of shipping products that users love

Skills:

  • Product marketing sensibility
  • Comfort working with teammates across: engineering, design, bizdev, marketing, R&D
  • Web analytics and data analysis
  • Market and user research

Bonus:

  • Familiarity with forecasting or prediction markets
  • Statistics or quantitative background

Benefits

  • Annual salary range of $100,000 - $150,000 USD, depending on experience.
  • We reimburse employees for health insurance costs, depending on country. In the US, we reimburse up to the legal maximum under a QSEHRA plan.
  • In the US, we offer a 401k plan for employees.
  • We provide generous parental leave; at a minimum (though it depends on jurisdiction) 14 weeks of paid leave for birthing parents and 6 weeks of paid leave for non-birthing parents.
  • We encourage our employees to meaningfully engage with and attend technical conferences and community events.
  • We offer travel opportunities for regular in-person working sessions and team retreats in the US and Europe.

About the job

Apply before

Posted on

Job type

Full Time

Experience level

Mid-level

Salary

Salary: 100k-150k USD

Location requirements

Hiring timezones

United States +/- 0 hours

About Metaculus

Learn more about Metaculus and their company culture.

View company profile

Metaculus is an online forecasting platform and aggregation engine working to improve human reasoning and coordination on topics of global importance.

Metaculus is a Public Benefit Corporation

This organizational structure enables us to serve the public good through the following commitments in our charter:

  1. Fostering the growth, learning, and development of the forecasting and forecasting research communities.

  2. Supporting stakeholders who are serving the public good by informing their decision making.

  3. Increasing public access to information regarding forecasts of public interest.

Mission

To build epistemic infrastructure that enables the global community to model, understand, predict, and navigate the world’s most important and complex challenges.

Values

  • We Value Community

  • We Respect Knowledge & Truth

  • We Create Public Accountability and Trust

  • We Build for Transparency & Understanding

  • We Build Tools for Collaborative Systems Thinking

How Metaculus Works

The platform brings together a global reasoning community and keeps score for thousands of forecasters via explicit, standardized track records.

Aggregation: Independent forecasts are statistically aggregated to harness the wisdom of crowds.

Recalibration & Weighting: Forecasts are differentially recalibrated and weighted based on forecaster track records.

Scoring & Feedback: We rigorously evaluate all our predictions and score their accuracy.

Employee benefits

Learn about the employee benefits and perks provided at Metaculus.

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Paid parental leave

We provide generous parental leave to support you and your family.

Company retreats

We offer travel opportunities for regular in-person working sessions and team retreats in the US and Europe.

Company events

We encourage our employees to meaningfully engage with and attend technical conferences and community events.

Re-location support

As applicable, we provide re-location support and compensation adjustments when employees move to higher cost-of-living areas.

View Metaculus's employee benefits
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Metaculus

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