Financial Forecaster

1. Role Overview

Mercor is partnering with a leading AI lab on a frontier research project involving elite superforecasters and domain specialists. We’re seeking quantitative finance experts—particularly those with backgrounds in trading, asset management, or statistical modeling—to contribute high-quality financial forecasts and structured reasoning. This engagement offers a unique opportunity to collaborate on improving AI prediction systems through data-driven insight.

2. Key Responsibilities

• Generate probabilistic forecasts on financial markets, instruments, and macro indicators

• Document quantitative reasoning, models, and relevant assumptions

• Analyze historical data and identify signals across asset classes

• Calibrate predictions with peers across economics and finance domains

• Contribute to the refinement of forecasting methodologies and inputs

3. Ideal Qualifications

• Background in quantitative finance, trading, economics, or data science

• Experience with financial forecasting, trading strategies, or market modeling

• Familiarity with tools like Python, R, or Excel for data analysis and backtesting

• Participation in forecasting competitions (e.g., Numerai, QuantConnect) a plus

• Strong written communication and analytical skills

4. More About the Opportunity

• Remote and asynchronous — work on your own schedule

• Expected commitment: ~10–20 hours/week

5. Compensation & Contract Terms

• $105–140/hour for U.S.-based applicants

• You’ll be classified as an independent contractor

6. Application Process

• Submit your Mercor profile or resume to get started

• You’ll complete a brief form

• We’ll follow up within a few days with next steps

7. About Mercor

• Mercor is a talent marketplace that connects top experts with leading AI labs and research organizations

• Our investors include Benchmark, General Catalyst, Adam D’Angelo, Larry Summers, and Jack Dorsey

• Thousands of professionals across domains like law, creatives, engineering, and research have joined Mercor to work on frontier projects shaping the next era of AI