
Cole Liu
@collinlyou
I build experimentation, causal inference, and predictive models that improve consumer-product decisions and outcomes.
What I'm looking for
I've improved consumer-product decisions at TikTok, Tinder, Snap, Headspace, and Thrive Market through experimentation, causal analysis, forecasting, and predictive modeling. At TikTok Shop, I built an eight-stage buyer-funnel metric layer, established experiment guardrails across U.S. Shop pods, and reduced median A/B test duration from about 21 to 13 days.
I've moved models into production with ML engineering teams, including seller-retention propensity scoring at TikTok and LTV scoring at Tinder. My work spans retention, churn, LTV, pricing, onboarding, and subscription funnels, and I mentor data scientists on statistical rigor.
Experience
Work history, roles, and key accomplishments
Designed TikTok Shop's 8-stage buyer-funnel metric layer in SQL on Hive/Presto, authored the Shop-wide experiment guardrail framework, and implemented CUPED variance reduction. Built survival models and partnered with ML engineering to operationalize a seller-retention propensity score.
Achieved ~14% WAPE on a 90-day LightGBM LTV model, re-architected the payer LTV scoring workflow into a PySpark pipeline, and designed a geo-staggered weekly-plan experiment. Developed a deep neural network engagement model validated through A/B testing.
Shipped 7 of ~40 A/B tests with day-7 retention lifts on Snapchat onboarding and Stories, launched engagement-parity monitoring for the Android rebuild, and modeled day-7 retention with logistic regression. Developed a deep neural network engagement-prediction model.
Conducted 11 A/B tests on the Headspace app trial-to-paid funnel, trained an XGBoost churn model, and produced a rolling paid-subscriber forecast. Authored the Airflow DAG automating weekly scoring to CRM.
Established the product-analytics foundation by authoring a unified ~120-event tracking schema, replaced manual Excel reporting with a membership funnel in Redshift SQL and LookML, and engineered checkout A/B readouts.
Pricing Manager
Beepi
Apr 2015 - Feb 2017 (1 year 10 months)
Managed pricing strategies for Beepi, a used-car marketplace.
Operations Analyst
Inspire
Sep 2014 - Apr 2015 (7 months)
Performed operations analysis at Inspire.
Justice Corps Graduate Fellow
Los Angeles Superior Court
Aug 2013 - Aug 2014 (1 year)
Served as a Justice Corps Graduate Fellow at the Los Angeles Superior Court.
Education
Degrees, certifications, and relevant coursework
University of Pennsylvania
Bachelor of Arts, History and Political Science
2009 - 2013
Bachelor of Arts in History and Political Science from the University of Pennsylvania, completed in 2013.
Tech stack
Software and tools used professionally
Availability
Location
Authorized to work in
Salary expectations
Social media
Job categories
Skills
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