Walk me through a discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation you built: key assumptions, steps, and how you would defend your terminal value and discount rate choices.
As an Associate in investment banking or corporate finance in Italy (e.g., working on deals for UniCredit or Intesa Sanpaolo clients), you will build and defend valuations. Interviewers need to confirm you understand modelling mechanics, assumptions, and how choices affect valuation outcomes.
How to answer
- Start with a concise overview of the DCF framework: project free cash flows (FCF), discount them using WACC (or appropriate discount rate), and add terminal value.
- Describe the time horizon you used (typically 5–10 years) and why it was appropriate for the business' life cycle and visibility.
- Explain how you forecasted revenue drivers (volume, price, market share) and linked them to operating margins and working capital assumptions.
- Detail the calculation of free cash flow (EBIT*(1-tax) + D&A - CapEx - ΔWorking Capital) and any adjustments (one-offs, non-recurring items).
- Show how you estimated WACC: cost of equity (CAPM assumptions — risk-free rate, equity risk premium, beta) and cost of debt (market spreads, marginal rates), and how you derived target capital structure.
- Discuss terminal value methodology choices (Gordon growth vs. exit multiple), justify the growth rate or comparable multiples with macro and sector context (e.g., Italy/EU GDP growth, sector maturity), and note sensitivity to terminal assumptions.
- Explain how you stress-tested the model with sensitivities and scenario analysis to show valuation ranges and key value drivers.
- Conclude by saying how you would present and defend these assumptions to clients or senior bankers, citing comparable transactions or public comps where relevant.
What not to say
- Giving an overly mechanical walkthrough without tying assumptions to business/market realities (e.g., arbitrary growth rates).
- Failing to justify the terminal growth rate or discount rate with data (macro, sector, comparable firms).
- Ignoring working capital, capex, or other cash items that materially affect FCF.
- Claiming the model gives a single 'correct' number instead of a range and sensitivity analysis.
Sample answer
“I built a 7-year DCF for an Italian mid-market manufacturing client. I projected revenue using historical CAGR adjusted for expected domestic demand recovery and new export contracts, then modeled margins improving gradually due to efficiency initiatives—EBIT margin rising from 8% to 12%. I calculated FCF as EBIT*(1-30% tax) + D&A - CapEx - ΔWC, normalizing one-off restructuring gains. For WACC, I used a 10-year Italian government yield for the risk-free rate, an equity risk premium of 5.5% (reflecting European market conditions), and a levered beta of 1.1 derived from European comparables; cost of debt reflected the client's existing bank funding spreads, resulting in a WACC of ~8.5%. For terminal value I used a modest 1.5% perpetual growth (below long-term EU GDP) and cross-checked with an exit multiple of 8.5x EV/EBITDA from comparable transactions. I presented a sensitivity table showing enterprise value across WACC ±1% and terminal growth ±0.5%, and used those ranges to discuss negotiation strategy with the client. This approach helped senior bankers explain valuation drivers clearly and supported the recommended deal structure.”
